2018 decoupling investigations
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
this article https://theconversation.com/the-decoupl ... lity-71996
references the following ones:
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/economic ... s/2017.pdf massive report from US containing some info relative to emissions intensity that vaguely but not really provides evidence of decoupling. Also contains some good data on drop in productivity and some "mad skillz" examples of forecasting, for instance on world growth by the IMF.
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https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/ ... irmed.html nice bit of cheerleading by IEA grasping on to whatever they can to show that decoupling has occurred. contains some good links to various emissions data. By the time the data gets to 2019/2020 I reckon it will show this decoupling to be a mirage (and it may well be anyway, considering the fudgability of GDP numbers).
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/articl ... ne.0164733 a good article showing excellent graphics on GDP improvement without substantial material or energy use increases. However they go on to show its largely financial sector (false) growth that contributes to GDP rather than real, useful things.
http://www.pnas.org/content/112/20/6271.full an excellent paper on material footprints for various nations including a couple of nominally communist ones. Converts the footprints in per capita terms as well and for a bonus, does it for imports and exports.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/a ... 0913001584 an article on GPI stalling, which pretty much matches our experience.
https://theconversation.com/beyond-gdp- ... eing-33414 a good article on alternative measures to GDP
references the following ones:
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/economic ... s/2017.pdf massive report from US containing some info relative to emissions intensity that vaguely but not really provides evidence of decoupling. Also contains some good data on drop in productivity and some "mad skillz" examples of forecasting, for instance on world growth by the IMF.
\
https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/ ... irmed.html nice bit of cheerleading by IEA grasping on to whatever they can to show that decoupling has occurred. contains some good links to various emissions data. By the time the data gets to 2019/2020 I reckon it will show this decoupling to be a mirage (and it may well be anyway, considering the fudgability of GDP numbers).
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/articl ... ne.0164733 a good article showing excellent graphics on GDP improvement without substantial material or energy use increases. However they go on to show its largely financial sector (false) growth that contributes to GDP rather than real, useful things.
http://www.pnas.org/content/112/20/6271.full an excellent paper on material footprints for various nations including a couple of nominally communist ones. Converts the footprints in per capita terms as well and for a bonus, does it for imports and exports.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/a ... 0913001584 an article on GPI stalling, which pretty much matches our experience.
https://theconversation.com/beyond-gdp- ... eing-33414 a good article on alternative measures to GDP
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
https://theconversation.com/how-do-we-u ... -use-62730 a somewhat more optimistic article on how we can uncouple growth from environmental pressures done by a csiro person
links include:
excellent and huge resource from UN of global material flows
https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handl ... isAllowed=
HDI versus level of material consumption
Quotes from article:
"Decoupling economic growth from resource use is crucially important – especially when we consider our finding that not even the wealthiest countries have managed to stabilise or reduce their overall material consumption footprint. The only time this footprint was reduced was during the global financial crisis of 2008-09. It has since begun to grow again.
This suggests that there is no level of human well-being at which the demand for primary materials will level off – unless we make some fundamental changes to our economy."
"The global economy uses more material per unit of GDP than it did in 2000. This is because production has shifted from material-efficient economies such as Japan, South Korea and Europe to less efficient ones like China, India and Southeast Asia."
Amazingly the article does not reference population stall as an option, and whilst acknowledging increasing material consumption levels will be needed to develop undeveloped countries, does not mention that high dev countries might need to ease back a bit
links include:
excellent and huge resource from UN of global material flows
https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handl ... isAllowed=
HDI versus level of material consumption
Quotes from article:
"Decoupling economic growth from resource use is crucially important – especially when we consider our finding that not even the wealthiest countries have managed to stabilise or reduce their overall material consumption footprint. The only time this footprint was reduced was during the global financial crisis of 2008-09. It has since begun to grow again.
This suggests that there is no level of human well-being at which the demand for primary materials will level off – unless we make some fundamental changes to our economy."
"The global economy uses more material per unit of GDP than it did in 2000. This is because production has shifted from material-efficient economies such as Japan, South Korea and Europe to less efficient ones like China, India and Southeast Asia."
Amazingly the article does not reference population stall as an option, and whilst acknowledging increasing material consumption levels will be needed to develop undeveloped countries, does not mention that high dev countries might need to ease back a bit
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
http://thesimplerway.info/DECOUPLING.htm some decoupling info and resources, though IMO the site is a bit alarmist
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
http://www.steadystate.org/discover/reading-list/ this website is a good resource for decoupling and other enviro info. Also the humor section of the website is worth a read
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
https://damnthematrix.wordpress.com/201 ... ge-part-i/
Damn the matrix is a bit alarmist, but has some good info on there.
Damn the matrix is a bit alarmist, but has some good info on there.
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
https://theconversation.com/limits-to-g ... ster-57721
links from the article:
http://d2hqr0jocqnenz.cloudfront.net/cd ... r_2016.pdf - a pdf which is mostly text but contains a pretty pragmatic policy set for moving away from degrowth
https://theconversation.com/life-in-a-d ... y-it-32224
http://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/sites ... r_2014.pdf -basically limits to growth 30 yr update. PDF containing a reasonalble range of graphics etc.
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6223/1259855 another good resource on planetary boundaries
http://simplicityinstitute.org/wp-conte ... titute.pdf - an interesting read, I'll have to look at it in more detail in the future. Contains a range of concepts and angles I don't usually come from.
https://www.theguardian.com/global-deve ... -190-a-day. a good article on poverty and the illegitimacy of 1.90 per day limit. (not really decoupling related but anyway).
http://www.who.int/whr/2005/chapter3/en/index3.html 87million unwanted pregnancies per year apparently. Doesnt the population only increase by 88 mil per year?
http://simplicitycollective.com/earth-a ... -of-growth
quotes from article:
"If the rich nations in the world keep growing their economies by 2% each year and by 2050 the poorest nations catch up, the global economy of more than 9 billion people will be around 15 times larger than it is now, in terms of gross domestic product (GDP). If the global economy then grows by 3% to the end of the century, it will be 60 times larger than now."
links from the article:
http://d2hqr0jocqnenz.cloudfront.net/cd ... r_2016.pdf - a pdf which is mostly text but contains a pretty pragmatic policy set for moving away from degrowth
https://theconversation.com/life-in-a-d ... y-it-32224
http://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/sites ... r_2014.pdf -basically limits to growth 30 yr update. PDF containing a reasonalble range of graphics etc.
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/347/6223/1259855 another good resource on planetary boundaries
http://simplicityinstitute.org/wp-conte ... titute.pdf - an interesting read, I'll have to look at it in more detail in the future. Contains a range of concepts and angles I don't usually come from.
https://www.theguardian.com/global-deve ... -190-a-day. a good article on poverty and the illegitimacy of 1.90 per day limit. (not really decoupling related but anyway).
http://www.who.int/whr/2005/chapter3/en/index3.html 87million unwanted pregnancies per year apparently. Doesnt the population only increase by 88 mil per year?
http://simplicitycollective.com/earth-a ... -of-growth
quotes from article:
"If the rich nations in the world keep growing their economies by 2% each year and by 2050 the poorest nations catch up, the global economy of more than 9 billion people will be around 15 times larger than it is now, in terms of gross domestic product (GDP). If the global economy then grows by 3% to the end of the century, it will be 60 times larger than now."
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
https://www.populationmatters.org/ pretty good website on enviro sustainability issues, containing some good info graphics and links, including on decoupling related stuff
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
https://theconversation.com/resource-pr ... ling-44087 mediocre article from people who should know better
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ENV_To ... t_2014.pdf a great resource on circular economy, material use increases and especially material price increases (what I've been saying by exponentially more difficult resource extraction issues).
https://www.eiseverywhere.com/file_uplo ... rategy.pdf bit of a cheerleading document for decoupling. Still contains a range of interesting diagrams on productivity related stuff. Also does contain some useful additional positive cases for decoupling.
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ENV_To ... t_2014.pdf a great resource on circular economy, material use increases and especially material price increases (what I've been saying by exponentially more difficult resource extraction issues).
https://www.eiseverywhere.com/file_uplo ... rategy.pdf bit of a cheerleading document for decoupling. Still contains a range of interesting diagrams on productivity related stuff. Also does contain some useful additional positive cases for decoupling.
Re: 2018 decoupling investigations
https://theconversation.com/study-austr ... nomy-50179 medium article on decoupling. A bit of cheerleading, a bit of realism.
links:
http://www.csiro.au/nationaloutlook/
http://www.stockholmresilience.org/rese ... known.html
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2011- ... economics/
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publicati ... ns-climate a good poll about australian attitudes towards climate change
http://www.climatechangeauthority.gov.au/node/180/
links:
http://www.csiro.au/nationaloutlook/
http://www.stockholmresilience.org/rese ... known.html
http://www.resilience.org/stories/2011- ... economics/
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publicati ... ns-climate a good poll about australian attitudes towards climate change
http://www.climatechangeauthority.gov.au/node/180/